Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XRP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-03 1.450562 1.813718 2.302203 3.037300 4.176447 6.001641 9.490916
2025-08-10 1.010667 1.391798 1.993553 3.116111 5.485257 11.548145 39.135216
2025-08-17 0.812991 1.189666 1.850922 3.296669 7.289237 24.847508 859.301073
2025-08-24 0.675358 1.026253 1.685733 3.295911 8.805776 52.689842 NaN
2025-08-31 0.570847 0.888212 1.511364 3.150959 9.744388 108.385880 NaN
2025-09-07 0.516272 0.826054 1.467256 3.321670 12.686619 703.466998 NaN
2025-09-14 0.464889 0.758217 1.388137 3.340502 15.233590 NaN NaN
2025-09-21 0.417795 0.689971 1.288864 3.234981 16.879480 NaN NaN
2025-09-28 0.381839 0.638261 1.216086 3.185193 19.282076 NaN NaN
2025-10-05 0.368213 0.629992 1.248009 3.568500 30.791993 NaN NaN
2025-10-12 0.349705 0.608183 1.239037 3.786248 45.285314 NaN NaN
2025-10-19 0.326921 0.573760 1.187606 3.773335 56.428085 NaN NaN
2025-10-26 0.302077 0.532543 1.111022 3.600425 60.984047 NaN NaN
2025-11-02 0.286836 0.511265 1.087661 3.705495 89.836424 NaN NaN
2025-11-09 0.275834 0.498198 1.085439 3.939841 170.625399 NaN NaN
2025-11-16 0.261328 0.475248 1.048506 3.938964 256.157880 NaN NaN
2025-11-23 0.245036 0.446491 0.988604 3.751202 279.371473 NaN NaN
2025-11-30 0.237249 0.437095 0.987799 3.972465 843.294980 NaN NaN
2025-12-07 0.227019 0.420768 0.961674 3.996964 2250.182325 NaN NaN
2025-12-14 0.215407 0.400076 0.917972 3.859922 3558.823291 NaN NaN
2025-12-21 0.205794 0.383509 0.885583 3.795457 11610.723130 NaN NaN
2025-12-28 0.203918 0.385757 0.916760 4.294967 NaN NaN NaN
2026-01-04 0.199218 0.380460 0.921058 4.581950 NaN NaN NaN